Tag Archives: Earth Science

http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/what-catastrophe_773268.html?nopager=1

What Catastrophe?

MIT’s Richard Lindzen, the unalarmed climate scientist

Weekly Standard, Jan 13, 2014, Vol. 19, No. 17 • By ETHAN EPSTEIN
When you first meet Richard Lindzen, the Alfred P. Sloan professor of meteorology at MIT, senior fellow at the Cato Institute, leading climate “skeptic,” and all-around scourge of James Hansen, Bill McKibben, Al Gore, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and sundry other climate “alarmists,” as Lindzen calls them, you may find yourself a bit surprised. If you know Lindzen only from the way his opponents characterize him—variously, a liar, a lunatic, a charlatan, a denier, a shyster, a crazy person, corrupt—you might expect a spittle-flecked, wild-eyed loon. But in person, Lindzen cuts a rather different figure. With his gray beard, thick glasses, gentle laugh, and disarmingly soft voice, he comes across as nothing short of grandfatherly.

Henny Penny Climate Fear Mongers Count on General Public’sLack of Critical Thinking

Henny Penny aka Climate Change Fear Mongers use whopper alarmist threats of “Vast Costs of Arctic Change”, http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v499/n7459/pdf/499401a.pdf

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Image from one of the North Pole Environmental Observatory webcams, taken on Thursday, July 25.
Credit: NSF’s North Pole Environmental Observatory.

The Lake at the North Pole, How Bad Is It? by  Andrew Freedman;     http://www.climatecentral.org/news/melting-at-north-pole-how-bad-is-it-16294 Published: July 26th, 2013 , Last Updated: July 26th, 2013

The pictures are dramatic — a camera at the North Pole Environmental Observatory, sitting in the middle of what appears to be either a lake or open ocean, at the height of the summer sea ice melt season. Set against the backdrop of the precipitous decline in sea ice cover in recent decades due in large part to global warming, this would seem to be yet another alarming sign of Arctic climate change.

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Annotated map showing the location of the North Pole and the location of the buoys with the webcams.
Credit: NSF’s North Pole Environmental Observatory.

[…]These images have attracted media attention, such as this AtlanticWire post and this Daily Mail story, both of which portray the images as potential signs of an intensifying Arctic meltdown. But before concluding that Arctic climate change has entered an even more ominous phase, it’s important to examine the context behind these images. First, the cameras in question, which are attached to instruments that scientists have deposited on the sea ice at the start of each spring since 2002, may have “North Pole” in their name, but they are no longer located at the North Pole. In fact, as this map below shows, they have drifted well south of the North Pole, since they sit atop sea ice floes that move along with ocean currents. Currently, the waterlogged camera is near the prime meridian, at 85 degrees north latitude.[…] (Notice that these records of observations are extremely recent, so any comparisons within them are in no way fit to be compared with the Record of Arctic sea ice cover before satellite observations in 1979)  […]Arctic sea ice cover has been rapidly shrinking and thinning since the start of satellite observations in 1979. Last year, sea ice extent and volume plunged to a record low. When the melt season finally ended in late September, the Arctic Ocean managed to hold onto less than half of the average sea ice extent seen during the 1979-to-2000 period. The past six years have had the six smallest sea ice extents since 1979, indicating that the ice has not recovered from the previous record low in 2007. Researchers attribute this to the loss of thicker multiyear ice, which has been replaced by thinner ice that forms in the fall and melts in the spring and summer. Serreze said the thinness of the ice cover has made it much more susceptible to weather patterns that promote ice transport and melting. So far this summer, sea ice extent has tracked above that of 2012, with a slow rate of ice melt in June followed by much more rapid melting during the first three weeks of July after weather patterns became more favorable for melting, Serreze said. “I would be extremely surprised if we were not” well below average come September, Serreze said, but the prospect of setting another record low “depends on the vagaries of the weather, and we just can’t predict that.”[…]

Without critical thinking we are malleable to every emotional appeal to whomever wishes to control us. In the past century mankind has been subjected to the concerted efforts of those who would rob us of our critical thinking abilities to get us to behave in certain ways, to buy certain things, and to change human value systems for the ends of the manipulators.  The “Henny Penny Sky Is Falling” schitck is a favourite change catalyst. Sigmund Freud’s nephew 1920s_Edward_BernaysEdward Louis Bernays (November 22, 1891-March 9, 1995) written up in his obituary as “the father of public relations”,  well understood critical thinking vs emotional reactive thinking. (century_self_lead The subject of anthropocentric (man) caused climate change is one we’re all familiar with from warring sides. Much much much critical thinking needs to be done……….a good place to start would be; http://www.climatedepot.com/ Here’s an example of one so called journalistic effort that needs careful discernment follows with my layman’s comments included in green in parentheses.) Scientists warn on Arctic ‘economic time bomb’     http://www.cnbc.com/id/100912062

(Opening paragraph full of opinion and fearful possibilities) The rapidly melting Arctic (a highly debated theory, with extreme disagreement among scientific community)  is an “economic time bomb” (Henny Penny-be afraid-phrase) likely (a speculation) to cost the world at least (indicating they don’t know but may be larger) $60 trillion (a very large unsubstantiated estimate), say researchers (anonymous authoritative figures you should respect) who have started to calculate (they haven’t calculated it yet, but they are working on it) the financial consequences of one of the world’s fastest changing climates (Is it? says who? and just how many changing climates are they referring to?). (opinion, unproven speculation, etc. highlighted in green below) A record decline in Arctic sea ice has been widely seen as economically beneficial until now, as it opens up more shipping and drilling in a region thought to contain 30 percent of the world’s undiscovered gas and 13 percent of its undiscovered oil. However, the Arctic’s pivotal role in regulating the oceans and climate means that as it melts it is likely to cause climatic changes that will damage crops, flood properties and wreck infrastructure around the world, according to research by academics at the UK’s University of Cambridge and Erasmus University Rotterdam in the Netherlands. This is likely to end up creating costs that will outstrip any benefits by three or more orders of magnitude, said Chris Hope of Cambridge’s Judge Business School. “People are calculating possible economic benefits in the billions of dollars and we’re talking about possible costs and damage and extra impacts in the order of tens of trillions of dollars,” he said. The Arctic has been warming at least twice as fast as the rest of the world for many years and the area of its sea ice, which melts and refreezes after every summer, has been declining by an amount almost equal to the size of the UK each year since 2001. Last year, the summer ice shrank to its lowest point since satellite observations started in 1979 (extremely short amount of time), raising concerns about the impact on the climate. The effect the European researchers have focused on is the way warmer Arctic waters are expected to hasten thawing of the permafrost beneath the East Siberian Sea off northern Russia that is believed to contain vast deposits of methane. This is a greenhouse gas some 20 times more potent than carbon dioxide, though it does not last as long in the atmosphere. There is much debate about how long it might take to release these methane deposits, and what impact it would eventually have. But some scientists say there is already evidence of large plumes of methane escaping and others fear this could happen fast enough to accelerate global warming and eventually speed up other changes such as the melting of the Greenland ice sheet, which contains enough frozen water to push up global sea levels by 7 meters. That is why the group felt it was important to assess the possible economic impact of such changes, said Peter Wadhams, a professor of ocean physics at Cambridge who believes the Arctic sea ice could completely vanish in summers as early as 2015. UK climate scientists say oceans hold key as global warming slows Met Office weathers storm of criticism Energy chiefs warn on EU oil sands measures “We’re looking at a possibly catastrophic effect on the global climate that has been a consequence of this extremely fast sea ice retreat,” he said. The researchers assessed the impact of higher methane emissions with a newer version of the economic model used in the UK government’s 2006 Stern Review on the economics of climate change, which concluded the benefits of curbing global warming early far outweigh the potential costs of not acting. Depending on how much methane was emitted, they calculated its potential cost was likely to be $60 trillion, with 80 percent of the damage occurring in developing countries least able to curb the impact of more floods, droughts and storms. “It’s not just important for polar bears (the emotional polar bear extinction argument , on which there is ample proof that they are increasing in population instead of becoming more endangered), it’s important for societies and global economies,” said Professor Gail Whiteman of Erasmus, adding her group’s research underlined the need for world leaders to start thinking about what she described as an economic time bomb.  from  http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v499/n7459/pdf/499401a.pdf

Critical thinking, yes, that is what we need, yet we are surrounded by people who are bound by vested interests for whom our critical thinking is a road block to their ends of profit making and control.  My opinion is that we desperately need to teach more people to be critical thinkers. That elementary statement should be a “no-brainer”.

What Cannot Modern Man Accomplish? BIG Science, BIG Ideas Revealed in Stories, Parables, and Fiction

I wax philosophical here as a very limited small minded inquirer into the ‘What Cannot Modern Man Accomplish? BIG Science, BIG Ideas Revealed in Stories, Parables, and Fiction’ and I restate the old wisdom that Fact is stranger than Fiction.

I believe that Fiction being organized into a coherent story with beginning, middle, and ending is much easier to communicate through than Facts which are patently harder to examine, quantify, and know as a mathematical set with anything like finality and confidence. And this is why human beings love stories. The best fictional writers always draw upon reality and what is possible, weaving their stories together with these threads of genuine universal truths.

The greatest story teller of all time, Jesus Christ, communicated genuine universal truths to his disciples through plain speaking, but through Parables did he communicate unto the crowd.

One example of a Modern Man as story teller of genuine universal truths, Michael Crichton, illustrated and illuminated BIG Science, BIG Ideas, through his fictional writings as well as his factual essays and lectures which are found all over the Internet. I mourn the loss of his revelations and high abilities to communicate the strangeness of technological advancements to the crowd through his fictional writings.

I wonder whether Crichton knew of the historical archival records out of New Zealand that nonfictional writer Ray Waru revealed in his book, Secrets and Treasures:  Our Stories Told Through the Objects at Archives New Zealand.

Crichton, who died in 2008, was an avid researcher and deeply interested man of wide education so it is possible that he could have come across something like  ‘Project Seal’ and or the archives which were written about in this article;  Tsunami bomb NZ’s devastating war secret By Eugene Bingham 5:01 AM Saturday Sep 25, 1999

Top-secret wartime experiments were conducted off the coast of Auckland to perfect a tidal wave bomb, declassified files reveal.

An Auckland University professor seconded to the Army set off a series of underwater explosions triggering mini-tidal waves at Whangaparaoa in 1944 and 1945.

Professor Thomas Leech’s work was considered so significant that United States defence chiefs said that if the project had been completed before the end of the war it could have played a role as effective as that of the atom bomb.

Details of the tsunami bomb, known as Project Seal, are contained in 53-year-old documents released by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade.

Papers stamped “top secret” show the US and British military were eager for Seal to be developed in the post-war years too. They even considered sending Professor Leech to Bikini Atoll to view the US nuclear tests and see if they had any application to his work.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1Treasures: Our Stories Told Through the Objects at Archives New Zealand&objectid=14727

Whether he had knowledge of those archives or not Michael Crichton wrote a fictional account in his story of a plot to use a tsunami making device for a political end in his 2004, Science Fiction, Techno-thriller, Dystopian Novel, State of Fear.

Overview from widipedia.org;

State of Fear is, like many of Crichton’s books, a fictional work that uses speculative science and technological innovations as fundamental storyline devices. The debate over global warming serves as the backdrop for the book. Crichton supplies a personal afterword and two appendices that link the fictional part of the book with real examples of his thesis.[…]

[…]In the finale of the story, the group travels to a remote island in the Solomons to stop the ELF’s “piece de resistance”, a tsunami that will inundate the coastline of California[…]200px-MichaelCrighton_StateOfFear

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/State_of_Fear

Now my emphasis in this post is not the debate over global warming and I will reserve that aspect of the novel for another time. I rather want to state the obvious fact that Michael Crichton has demonstrated in his writings that he was very well informed about scientific and medical research and that he wrote his novels with well documented background material as inspiration for them.

Despite their fabulous entertaining aspects Crichton’s writings contain reams of facts in the areas of science and politics and history all into the mixture of his novels that serve as the basis of further research and inquiry into the marvelous What Cannot Modern Man Accomplish.

Michael Crichton because of his vast intellectual honesty and brilliant mind was very much a thorn in the side of those who would politicize science, his voice is greatly missed, especially now that things such as ‘Project Seal’ are becoming widely known. I close this post with the Author’s Afterword/appendices from wikipedia;

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/State_of_Fear

[…]In Appendix I, Crichton warns both sides of the global warming debate against the politicization of science. Here he provides two examples of the disastrous combination of pseudo-science and politics: the early 20th-century ideas of eugenics (which he directly cites as one of the theories that allowed for the Holocaust) and Lysenkoism.

This appendix is followed by a bibliography of 172 books and journal articles that Crichton presents “…to assist those readers who would like to review my thinking and arrive at their own conclusions.” (State of Fear, pp, 583).[…]

 

 

A Tale Of Two Countries

A Tale Of Two Countries.

via A Tale Of Two Countries.

 

 

Interesting title, reminds one of that era when ‘reason’ tried to turn the world upside down, ending with loses of many ‘crowns’, and beginning the present age of the mob ruled by trader banker oligarchy………………CO2 definitely one tool that is brandished for their enrichment which rears its head at every change in the weather.

Diamonds Russia’s Impact Diamonds Secret is Out

I knew about the manufacturing process that Russians had for making diamonds (perfect ones at that) and I have read about that process leaking out to others. Sarasota Florida USA had begun manufacturing a like product several years ago. But of course DeBeers wasn’t too happy about that and all these stories have been pretty much put to the quiet for the general public. I wonder now what will come out of this announcement of these Impact Diamonds that are obviously for technological uses?

 

http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Global-News/2012/0917/Russia-reveals-shiny-state-secret-It-s-awash-in-diamonds

Russia reveals shiny state secret: It’s awash in diamonds

‘Trillions of carats’ lie below a 35-million-year-old, 62-mile-diameter asteroid crater in eastern Siberia known as Popigai Astroblem. The Russians have known about the site since the 1970s.

By Fred Weir, Correspondent / September 17, 2012

 

Space Mirrors Will Reduce Rainfall in Americas and Eurasia by 10 to 20%

New Scientist June 18_2012 Article linked here.

 

 

 (…)Previous studies have shown that geoengineering cannot restore both temperature and rain to previous levels, linked here. (…)

(…) Hauke Schmidt of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, Germany, and his colleagues played out the same simple scenario in four different climate models. In each one, he quadrupled carbon dioxide levels from pre-industrial levels, linked here. (…)

(…) Article linked here.

 

Hummmmm,

WORD to the wise here,

I rather think that would mean a reduction of agriculture and food, and causing thirst and harm of living beings. I hope the scientists and their financiers will extrapolate life as more important than playing God to ‘help’ the earth with their experiments to cool the globe.

This research is only possible through the public purse and is after all financed by the trusting unscientific mass proletariat  through taxation of their labor and goods. It is cruel to violate that trust, cruel and criminal. Tread carefully because to whom much is given much is required of them.